Will worrying new military aid deal between North Korea and Russia mean Kim Jong – Un will send more troops to war alongside Moscow’s invasion army on the Ukraine frontline?
North Korea has agreed a “mutual military aid” pact with Russia sparking fears it could officially join the war against Ukraine.
The treaty comes as 12,000 North Korean troops are believed to have been deployed to Russia in support of Moscow’s invasion. As many as 50,000 North Korean and Russian troops are believed to be massing for an assault on Ukraine’s invasion Russia’s Kursk region. Russia had completed the ratification of the treaty last week after it was signed by President Vladimir Putin and North Korean leader Kim Jong Un in June. It is believed the deal between the two is the biggest settlement of its kind for both countries since the end of the Cold War.
The Comprehensive Strategic Partnership treaty will take effect when both sides exchange documents on the ratification, the state-run Korean Central News Agency (KCNA) said. North Korea ratified the treaty through a decree signed on Monday by the country’s president of state affairs, KCNA said.
North Korea’s rubber-stamp parliament, the Supreme People’s Assembly, has the right to ratify treaties but Kim can unilaterally ratify major ones, according to South Korean officials. The treaty requires both countries to use all available means to provide immediate military assistance if either is attacked.
Some observers speculate the treaty’s ratification in both countries could signal North Korea could formally enter the Russia-Ukraine war soon. According to US, South Korean and Ukrainian intelligence assessments, up to 12,000 North Korean troops have been sent to Russia likely as part of the June treaty.
But the new partnership also means it is likely Kim Jong-Un will send even more troops to fight on the frontline. North Korea is already deploying weapons to Russia as Moscow’s gun and ammunition supplies were dwindling. But a large percentage of the materiel has been found to be defective, such artillery shells that turn out to be duds and bullets that fail to fire.
Last week, Ukrainian officials said Ukraine and North Korean troops engaged in small-scale fighting while Ukraine’s army fired artillery at North Korean soldiers in Russia’s Kursk border region. North Korea’s troop dispatch threatens to escalate the almost three-year war. South Korea, the US and their partners also worry about what Russia could give North Korea in return.
Possible Russian transfer of sensitive technology to enhance North Korea’s already-advancing nuclear and missile programmes would be an alarming development for the US and its allies. North Korea and Russia have been significantly strengthening their military and other co-operation. South Korea’s spy agency said last month that North Korea had sent more than 13,000 containers of artillery, missiles and other conventional arms to Russia since August 2023 to replenish its dwindling weapons stockpiles.
