Rishi Sunak has pulled the trigger on a General Election for July 4.

In a surprise move, the PM announced a summer vote – despite the Tories trailing behind Keir Starmer’s Labour in the national polls for months. With just days to go, the Conservatives face a daunting 20-point deficit behind Keir Starmer’s Labour in the polls, reminiscent of the 1997 Tory collapse.

According to the final national Westminster Voting Intention poll by Redfield & Wilton Strategies, the Labour Party, led by Keir Starmer, holds a commanding 19% lead. Although this is a four-point drop from last week, it remains a significant advantage, marking Labour’s lowest vote share since Boris Johnson’s premiership. Meanwhile, the Conservatives have managed to achieve their highest vote share since May, standing at 22%.

With just days to go, the political landscape is heating up. While Labour’s lead offers a strong position, Starmer’s camp remains cautious, aware that the intense campaign period could bring surprises. Adding to the intrigue, Nigel Farage’s Reform UK and the Liberal Democrats are poised to challenge the status quo, making the upcoming election a highly anticipated contest.

There’s still plenty of time for things to change. So what do the polls tell us about what will happen in the General Election and who is on track to win? Here’s what you need to know.

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